Gold Surges On Recession Fears As Analysts Call For $4,000 Target
Gold prices have surged to record highs, with major financial institutions forecasting further gains as investors seek safe havens amid growing economic uncertainty and recession risks.
Goldman Sachs and UBS have issued bullish calls for the precious metal, projecting gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of this year and potentially hit $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026. Goldman analysts, including Lina Thomas, now see gold going up to $3,700, while UBS strategist Joni Teves expects prices to reach $3,500 by December 2025.
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“We’re putting in a pretty good base now around $3,000,” Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Commodity Strategist Mike McGlone told Kitco News in a recent interview. “It’s going to head into $4,000, the question is time.”
The precious metal has already climbed 6.6% last week alone, setting a fresh record above $3,245 per ounce on Monday. This rally comes as investors increasingly view gold as a hedge against recession and geopolitical risks amid President Donald Trump’s trade policies that are creating market uncertainty.
According to McGlone, gold’s strength reflects structural shifts in capital flows away from speculative assets. “Gold is the most expensive ever versus the US long bond market,” he noted, attributing this to “too much debt and the transition to tariffs creating more inflation.”
As traditional risk assets like equities lose appeal, investors are increasingly allocating capital to precious metals. The Goldman analysts anticipate official-sector gold purchases will average about 80 tons per month this year, up from their previous estimate of 70 tons.
With the US stock market showing signs of vulnerability after shedding $6 trillion in market cap this year, gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge continues to strengthen.
Information for this story was found via Bloomberg, and the sources and companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.
