The US shipping industry is experiencing a sharp and sudden contraction, with container bookings plummeting, port activity slowing, and freight volumes approaching pandemic-era lows—signaling an economic shockwave fueled by the new administration’s sweeping trade embargo.
Observers notice that bookings for container ships “almost immediately collapsed” after the Trump administration imposed aggressive new tariffs.
Trump is going to bankrupt independent truckers,
— Lorenzo Levi Brown :🐏🐑 Follow Me On BlueSky 🦋 (@LLBROWN7047) April 24, 2025
And wait until the shelves are empty. https://t.co/354HcoRarI
At the Port of Los Angeles—one of the nation’s primary trade arteries—activity is down significantly. Recent images show freight traffic decelerating to levels typically seen during holiday lulls. Some are even noticing that the level of deceleration is borderline near the halt experienced during the pandemic days.
Trucking volumes out of Los Angeles are equivalent to Christmas.
— Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️ (@FreightAlley) April 24, 2025
Christmas and New Years are typically the lowest volume days of the year.
Truckers should avoid taking freight to Southern Cal, else risk having to deadhead back to Dallas to get loaded. pic.twitter.com/tdgT9fhY08
Freight volume has fallen right off a cliff in the past 10-14 days.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 24, 2025
We’re rapidly approaching *COVID* levels in freight volume.
We are probably *already* in a recession.
Now, it’s just about damage control.
Policy disaster.
H/T @FreightAlley pic.twitter.com/TLDvuA8QON
Retailers are also already sounding the alarm, indicating earlier this week that supply shortages may happen in just a matter of weeks. The Beige Book, a key pulse-check from the Federal Reserve, has shown a surge in tariff-related mentions, underscoring that this is no isolated supply chain hiccup—it’s systemic.
Its clear the tariffs are now much more meaningfully impacting actual business activity. The beige book this month for instance showed a dramatic rise in mentions of tariffs. h/t @AugurInfinity pic.twitter.com/7uS2fwa576
— Bob Elliott (@BobEUnlimited) April 24, 2025
This is all extremely sad and very frustrating. And it's interesting that some of this happened because of eggs. Egg shortages, high egg prices… and now, there could be shortages and high prices on basically everything. https://t.co/EWEw0U6d1t
— Kyla Scanlon (@kylascan) April 24, 2025
The underlying issue lies in the sheer speed and scale of the tariff rollout. Unlike past policy changes that trickled into economic indicators, this one landed with immediate consequences, creating “a supply shock on par with what was seen during COVID.”
With shelves expected to empty and economic ripple effects accelerating, the shipping crisis may soon become visible to every American household.
Can’t sleep…
— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) April 24, 2025
Thinking about how it takes ~25 days for shipping containers to go from China to LA and ~35 days to New York.
We haven’t even felt the impact yet.
Information for this briefing was found via the sources mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.