Cantor Releases Industry Report For Cannabis, Aphria Remains Top Pick

Recently, Cantor Fitzgerald released their monthly review of Hifyre data for the four weeks ending September 19th. In the summary, analyst Pablo Zuanic states, “we note ACB and WEED remain rather flower dependent (about two thirds), with their respective value brands 69% and 49% of their flower sales.”

Zaunic reiterates Aphria as their top pick and says Aphria is making a push into the value category, where they have eight 28g SKU’s which is the highest in the industry. They also comment that Tilray is more focused on 2.0 vs. 1.0, and results have been mixed.

In the note, Pablo Zuanic reiterates his ratings and price targets on the following companies:

  • Aurora (TSX: ACB) (NYSE: ACB), Overweight, C$17.50
  • Aphria (TSX: APHA) (NASDAQ: APHA), Overweight C$12.50
  • Hexo (TSX: HEXO) (NYSE: HEXO), Neutral, C$1.25
  • Organigram (TSX: OGI) (NASDAQ: OGI), Overweight, C$5.35
  • Tilray (NASDAQ: TLRY), Neutral, $7.90
  • Canopy Growth (TSX: CGC) (NYSE: WEED), Neutral, C$27.50

In Zuanic’s first point, he goes through the outperformers and the laggards. In the last several four week periods, with the most recent ending September 19th, the entire cannabis market grew roughly 10% on average. Out of the five LPs that Cantor covers, Aphria and Canopy grew +13% and +12%, respectively, which outperformed the +10% market increase. Meanwhile Tilray and Organigram grew below the market increase at +6%, and +1%, respectively, and Aurora was flat at 0%.

The next point Zuanic goes into is how the trends vary, and there is no pattern or correlation between the five LP’s covered by Cantor. Commenting on the most recent four week period, he states, “APHA grew 14%, WEED +8%, ACB +3%, OGI -3%, and TLRY -4%.” He then goes onto to explain that there are wild swings in the trailing data, with no consistent results period to period. For example, Tilray went from +20% average growth in the first eight weeks to -7% in the last eight weeks. Organigram went from -12% to +14%, Aurora went from +5% to -4%, Aphria from +16% to +10% and Canopy was +8% to +14%.

Now we move onto the individual LPs and see how their categories are doing. First is Aphria, which had Flower sales increase +16%, Pre-rolls +25%, Oils +7%, and Vapes +6% in the last four weeks. Zaunic says Aphria is the clear leader in the vape business and holds a 24% market share for that category. Aphria has 14%, 15%, 20% market share for flowers, pre-rolls, and oils, respectively.

Onto Canopy, which had a product mix that consisted of 65% flower, 15% pre-rolls, 8% oils, 7% beverages, 3% vapes, and 2% edibles for the last four weeks. Their flower category grew the most at +15% while edibles and vapes were hit the hardest with a -9% and -33% decrease, respectively. Zuanic says that Canopy has ten different brands, which is the most out of any LP but outside of Canopy’s beverage category, the company has not made any inroads yet to the other 2.0 categories.

Aurora had a product mix of 67% edibles, 16% pre-rolls, 6% vapes, and 2% oils for the last four weeks. Edibles, vapes, and oils grew 38%, 20%, and 16% respectively for the period. While flowers, pre-rolls fell 2% and 16%. ACB market share 12% flower, 36% edibles, 5% pre-rolls, 5% oils, and 3% vapes

Tilray’s four-week product mix was flower 31%, vapes 28%, pre-rolls 26%, edibles 8%, beverages 5%, and oils 3%. The most notable sales mix changes are that pre-rolls and oils fell 19% and 21%, respectively. Tilray has a strong market share of 18% in the beverage category, mainly attributable to their tea.


Information for this briefing was found via Sedar and Refinitiv. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

2 Responses

Video Articles

Silver @ $36 & We’re Still 200M Oz Short | Paul Andre Huet – Americas Gold and Silver

Gold’s Wild Bull Run: Are Markets About to Break? | Mike McGlone

First Majestic Silver: The Santa Elena Mine

Recommended

Goliath Resources Closes Out Funding Round With Total Gross Proceeds Of $27.1 Million

Silver47 Kickstarts 4,000 Metre Drill Campaign At Red Mountain Project

Related News

Uranium: Cantor Increases Spot Price Target To As High As $150 For U3O8

Following guidance reductions from uranium mining major Kazatomprom, at least one analyst is calling for...

Saturday, February 3, 2024, 09:27:00 AM

Canopy Growth Sees Shareholders Approve Canopy USA Strategy, To Begin Acquiring US Assets

Canopy Growth (TSX: WEED) is one step closer to establishing a US-based multi state operator...

Monday, April 15, 2024, 08:37:20 AM

Snap: Analysts Call For Company To Hit Guidance For Q1

Snap Inc (NYSE: SNAP) will be reporting their first quarter on April 22nd after market...

Tuesday, April 20, 2021, 04:04:00 PM

Canopy Growth: Analysts Anticipate Q1 Revenues Of $149 Million

Canopy Growth Corp (TSX: WEED) (NASDAQ: CGC) announced that they will be reporting their fiscal...

Tuesday, August 3, 2021, 03:28:00 PM

Unity Software: Analysts Anticipate $216.6 Million In Q1 Revenues

Unity Software (NYSE: U) will be reporting their first-quarter financial results this evening after market...

Tuesday, May 11, 2021, 02:44:00 PM