Monday, December 29, 2025

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Here’s What’s Going On With Silver

  • Silver is retracing because the market just ran out of cheap leverage and fresh buyers after an above-$80 blow-off.

After sprinting to a fresh record around $81 per ounce, the silver market is now unwinding leverage and taking profit, pushing spot back toward the mid-$70s in a tape that is still up roughly 160% to 166% YTD.

The price action is internally consistent with a pullback, not a regime change. The silver is swinging hard around a mid-$70s handle after an $81 spike.

The first driver is simple: profit-taking after an end-of-year vertical move, with the Monday slide attributed to profit-taking following the record. In a market that had just delivered a one-way melt-up, even modest selling pressure can gap the tape lower.

The second driver is leverage getting more expensive at the worst possible moment for crowded longs. A CME table shows higher minimum performance bond requirements for COMEX 5000 Silver Futures: Non-HRP initial and maintenance margins rose from $22,000 to $25,000, while HRP initial rose from $24,200 to $27,500 and HRP maintenance from $22,000 to $25,000. Higher margin requirements mechanically reduce buying power and can force position reductions if accounts are tight.

READ: CME Lifts Silver Futures Margins Across Front Months

The volatility itself is part of the explanation. An observer described the 10% silver price move as a “4–5 sigma event,” and another flagged nearly a $9 range in roughly 90 minutes, explicitly tying the chop to illiquidity.

The third driver is “macro headline parsing” that matters mainly because it affects risk sentiment intraday. Investors were weighing geopolitics after President Donald Trump said peace talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had made “a lot of progress,” while also saying a deal could take weeks, and adding he is open to addressing Ukraine’s parliament, trilateral talks with Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin, and meeting European leaders in January.

READ: China Silver Benchmark Jumps As Physical Tightness Bites

Crucially, the pullback is happening inside a metals complex that is still extremely extended on the year. In the same snapshot, gold was $4,456.96 per ounce (+71.07% YTD) while silver showed +160.45% YTD. Platinum was $2,329.40 per ounce (+159.34% YTD).

So what’s going on is not one thing. It is a three-part unwind: a post-record profit-take, a leverage squeeze via higher margins, and a headline-sensitive risk tone, all playing out in a market that remains massively up on the year and structurally prone to whiplash.


Information for this briefing was found via Bloomberg and the sources mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

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