Liberal Lead Narrowed To Two Points Ahead Of Crucial Debates

The Liberal Party’s advantage over the Conservatives has shrunk to just two percentage points, according to a new Abacus Data poll released ahead of pivotal leadership debates.

The survey, conducted April 14-15 with 1,200 Canadian adults, shows Liberals at 40% among decided voters compared to 38% for the Conservatives. This represents a significant tightening from the six-point lead Liberals held two weeks ago.

Among voters most certain to cast ballots, Conservatives now hold a slight numerical edge (40% vs. 39%), suggesting potentially stronger turnout among Conservative supporters.

“This smaller sample serves as a benchmark before these highly anticipated debates,” said David Coletto, who authored the poll. Abacus plans additional polling over the weekend to measure potential shifts following the French-language debate tonight and English debate tomorrow.

The regional breakdown reveals areas of both Liberal strength and vulnerability. In Ontario, Canada’s most populous province, Liberals maintain a seven-point advantage (47% vs. 40%), though this gap has narrowed from earlier polling. Quebec shows Liberals and the Bloc Québécois tied at 36%, with Conservatives at 19%.

The survey indicates a shifting electoral landscape as voters increasingly prioritize cost of living concerns. Among the 46% who list reducing living costs as their top issue, Conservatives lead by 11 points. Meanwhile, Liberals maintain a 34-point advantage among the 33% most concerned about Donald Trump’s impact on Canada.

Despite the tightening race, 48% of Canadians still expect the Liberals to win the election, compared to 32% predicting a Conservative victory.

According to Abacus, public desire for change has rebounded, with 56% of respondents saying “it’s definitely time for a change in government,” up from 51% a week earlier. This coincides with decreased support for Liberal re-election, which dropped to 21% from 24%.

The margin of error for the probability-based random sample is approximately ±2.9%, 19 times out of 20.


Information for this story was found via the sources and companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

Video Articles

Silver @ $36 & We’re Still 200M Oz Short | Paul Andre Huet – Americas Gold and Silver

Gold’s Wild Bull Run: Are Markets About to Break? | Mike McGlone

First Majestic Silver: The Santa Elena Mine

Recommended

Goliath Resources Closes Out Funding Round With Total Gross Proceeds Of $27.1 Million

Silver47 Kickstarts 4,000 Metre Drill Campaign At Red Mountain Project

Related News

Pierre Poilievre Threatens to Cut MPs’ Six-Week Vacation Short

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has declared his intent to disrupt MPs’ holiday plans by utilizing...

Thursday, December 7, 2023, 02:56:00 PM

Poilievre Wants Inquiry If Windsor EV Battery Plant Will Actually Employ Canadians

Police in Windsor, Ontario, anticipate the arrival of approximately 1,600 South Korean workers for the...

Wednesday, November 22, 2023, 02:08:00 PM

Liberals Voted To Triple Carbon Tax — What’s The Real Cost?

On Wednesday, the Liberals, NDP and Bloc voted in favor of carbon tax hikes, smashing...

Tuesday, October 4, 2022, 03:03:00 PM

Poilievre Blasts Trump Tariffs, Announces Plan to Boost Canadian Investments

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre on Thursday called on US President Donald Trump to end his...

Friday, March 28, 2025, 11:40:00 AM

Canadian Federal Election: Liberal Staffers Plant ‘Stop the Steal’ Buttons at Conservative Conference

The Liberal Party of Canada acknowledged on Sunday that two of its campaign staffers planted...

Monday, April 14, 2025, 07:22:22 AM