Spot Bitcoin ETFs’ Market Impact Remains Limited Despite Strong Initial Inflows

In the first two days of trading for the SEC-approved spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the market witnessed robust investor interest with approximately $1.4 billion in new cash inflows.

Notably, BlackRock’s IBIT emerged as a standout performer, attracting $497 million in new cash, while eight other ETFs collectively secured $900 million in fresh capital.

According to reports by Bloomberg, Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) underwent a conversion into an ETF over the weekend following $579 million in outflows on Thursday and Friday. When factoring in the outflows from GBTC, total net cash inflows into the nine ETFs amounted to $819 million.

The SEC’s recent approval of 11 bitcoin ETFs had generated anticipation among enthusiasts, with some expecting a surge in bitcoin prices.

However, the age-old Wall Street adage, “Buy the rumor; sell the news,” seemed to play out, resulting in a decline in bitcoin’s price after the actual approval.

Before the official approval announcement, a fake tweet from a hacked SEC social media account briefly pushed bitcoin’s price above $48,625. Nevertheless, the price retreated, reflecting the classic “sell the news” scenario.

Initial trading volumes for the new spot ETFs were promising, with Grayscale’s GBTC recording over $4.1 billion in two days, and BlackRock’s IBIT adding $1.5 billion in volume. However, some market observers suggested that a significant portion of ETF share trading involved arbitrage strategies, taking advantage of small price discrepancies between exchanges.

Several financial institutions contributed to the nuanced market dynamics. Charles Schwab published a bearish article highlighting key concerns about bitcoin ETFs, while Bank of America and Edward Jones refused to sell shares to certain retail investors. Even JP Morgan, an authorized participant for the BlackRock spot bitcoin ETF, issued a warning to potential contributors.

Notably, Pantera Capital took a positive stance, with Bitwise’s S-1 filing revealing Pantera’s readiness to invest up to $200 million in its proposed spot bitcoin ETF. This substantial investment constituted the majority of Bitwise’s $237 million in inflows into its ETF, BITB, on the first day.

Despite the initial success in attracting net new cash inflows, spot bitcoin ETFs represent only a fraction of bitcoin’s overall market capitalization. The $819 million influx during the first two trading days accounts for just 0.1% of bitcoin’s $827 billion market cap.

As the market continues to navigate the evolving landscape of bitcoin investments, the interplay between institutional support, regulatory dynamics, and market sentiment will likely shape the future trajectory of spot bitcoin ETFs.


Information for this briefing was found via Protos and the sources mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

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