Sunday, January 18, 2026

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Digging Deep On DOGE’s “$55B Savings”

In their newly released webpage, Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency claims to have saved taxpayers a hefty $55 billion. However, critics say these inflated figures might be more fiction than fact.

The most generous reading alleges that DOGE officials double-counted, conflated multi-year contract values with immediate savings, and in some cases, misread figures by mistaking millions for billions. Allegations have also emerged that some of the “savings” come from unobligated funds never truly at risk of being spent.

One of the earliest re-calculations showed a combined total closer to $16.5 billion in contract reductions and $0.14 billion in real estate savings, for about $16.64 billion overall, versus the front-page figure of $55 billion.

The largest discrepancy stems from a canceled Department of Homeland Security contract listed at $8 billion. In reality, the contract was worth only $8 million. Similar errors were repeated across the board, with DOGE officials claiming entire multi-year contract ceilings as single-year savings.

Additional confusion swirls around three USAID line items, each listed at $655 million. Together, these items supposedly add up to nearly $2 billion in savings. The reality is that these “contracts” are indefinite delivery vehicles which set a potential spending ceiling but do not guarantee that the full amount will ever be spent.

In fact, only $73 million had been awarded within the first five years of these IDVs, and just two more years remained. Even if USAID had the option to spend up to $655 million on each IDV, the actual outlays for those vehicles looked unlikely ever to reach the total ceiling. 

One of the more notable items on the DOGE site is a supposed $1 billion contract for information technology services at the Social Security Administration. That figure might be accurate if one tallied the multi-year scope from the start. However, most of the authorized funds for this contract have already been spent with approximately 80% of the total disbursed over the first three years, leaving only about $240 million unspent. Spreading that remaining amount over the next three years translates to about $80 million annually.

The DOGE report comes amid a legal battle started by fourteen US states, led by New Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez, alleging that DOGE’s budget-slashing activities are unconstitutional and must be halted. They argue that Musk’s role breaches core separation-of-powers principles and grants an unelected billionaire the authority to unilaterally reshape federal spending priorities.

Since Musk rose to national prominence as chief of Tesla, SpaceX, and other ventures, he has secured an estimated $20 billion in federal contracts and subsidies. His position now places him at the nexus of government oversight and personal industry interests, fueling accusations of conflicts of interest.

Tesla continues to secure federal deals—most recently a $767 million battery project for Puerto Rico’s power grid—even as President Donald Trump shifts course on emissions standards and seems poised to eliminate tax credits for electric vehicles.


Information for this story was found via the sources mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

One Response

  1. Selective accounting and misleading facts. This is nothing new from Mr. Musk who will be spouting this all on X as usual. Shameless distortion of the facts to mislead the public to make himself and the president look like they are working for the people.

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