Monday, December 29, 2025

How Is Bell’s Crave Tied In The Netflix-Warner Bros Buyout

  • Netflix buying Warner Bros Discovery reframes Canadian streaming economics around one question: who controls HBO’s Canadian window, with Crave at 4.3M subs versus roughly 9M Netflix users in Canada.

Netflix’s (NASDAQ: NFLX) proposed acquisition of Warner Bros Discovery materially increases downside risk to Bell Canada’s Crave, because the platform’s premium positioning is tightly linked to Warner-controlled tentpoles and HBO library access that could be pulled in-house if the transaction clears.

On the content math, the assets at stake for Canadian viewers are not deep cuts. The combined company would control HBO’s library plus major Warner franchises including Harry Potter and DC, all described as flagship offerings on Crave, which stood at 4.3 million subscribers as of early October 2025, versus about 9 million Canadians on Netflix.

Bell Media and Warner signed a “multiple years” content extension in 2024 with an undisclosed term, and Bell publicly framed the renewal as continued access “for the foreseeable future.”

That said, the subscriber gap is the leverage reality. With Netflix’s Canadian base roughly double Crave’s, Netflix can plausibly treat Canada as a direct-to-consumer capture market for Warner/HBO content rather than a wholesale licensing market, and Bell’s ability to offset a premium-library loss with substitute programming is not established in the disclosed numbers. 

The Competition Bureau confirmed the deal “will be reviewed,” and also signaled it would not comment further because it is required by law to conduct its work in private.

Parallel to this, in the US, political scrutiny is already explicit. Sen. Elizabeth Warren called the merger an “anti-monopoly nightmare” and argued it would concentrate streaming control, raising the risk of pressure on subscription pricing and choice.

Theatres are treating the deal as an exhibition shock, not just a streaming consolidation. Cinema United, describing itself as the world’s largest exhibition trade association representing over 30,000 screens in the US (and Canada) plus more than 30,000 screens in 80 countries, labeled the transaction an “unprecedented threat” to the global exhibition business.

Cinema United quantified the risk at about 25% of annual domestic box office if Warner films that historically receive robust theatrical releases “disappear from theatres,” arguing Netflix’s model favors token runs for a handful of titles and direct-to-platform distribution for the overwhelming majority.

Netflix has said it expects to maintain theatrical releases for Warner Bros films, but exhibition groups are effectively signaling they will measure compliance by window length, marketing support, and slate breadth.

Both boards approved the deal unanimously, and closing requires completion of the Discovery Global separation, regulatory approvals, Warner Bros Discovery shareholder approval, and customary closing conditions, with the companies guiding to a 12–18 month timeline.


Information for this story was found via Financial Pots and the sources and companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

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