Monday, September 15, 2025

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Oil Markets Signal Relief After Contained Middle East Action

International crude markets experienced a dramatic downturn Monday as investors responded to Israel’s limited military action against Iran over the weekend. The carefully targeted strikes, which steered clear of Iran’s energy and nuclear installations, triggered a significant sell-off in global oil markets.

Trading data showed both major oil benchmarks retreating to levels not seen since early October. By early afternoon, Brent crude plummeted more than 6% to a low of $70.82 per barrel, while its American counterpart, West Texas Intermediate, shed nearly 7% to reach as low as $66.92.

The sharp decline marks a striking reversal from last week’s market sentiment, when uncertainty over Israel’s potential response to Iran’s October 1 missile attack had driven prices up by 4%. Israel’s measured approach, executing three precise aerial strikes near Tehran and in western Iran, largely calmed market fears of broader regional conflict.

Market observers suggest the Biden administration played a key role in shaping Israel’s moderate response. Meanwhile, investment bank Citi has adjusted its market outlook, lowering its Brent crude forecast to $70 per barrel for the upcoming quarter, down from its previous $74 projection.

Despite the immediate market relief, some analysts remain cautious about long-term regional stability. Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s Vivek Dhar warned that tensions between Israel and Iranian-backed groups Hamas and Hezbollah could still threaten market stability.

Industry attention is now pivoting to OPEC+ dynamics, with particular focus on the organization’s December 1 meeting. The group’s upcoming decisions could prove crucial for market direction, especially given the current combination of geopolitical uncertainties and economic pressures affecting global oil demand.


Information for this story was found via Reuters, and the sources and companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

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