Suncor Energy Sees Earnings Decline In Q4 2025 Despite Record Production

Suncor Energy (TSX: SU) delivered record Q4 2025 production and throughput while converting $3.22 billion of adjusted funds from operations into $1.70 billion of free funds flow and $1.49 billion of shareholder returns, even as several non-GAAP earnings and cash metrics declined from both Q3 2025 and Q4 2024.

GAAP net earnings were $1.48 billion in Q4 2025, down from Q3 2025’s $1.62 billion but up versus Q4 2024’s $818.0 million, with basic EPS of $1.23 versus $1.34 in Q3 2025 and $0.65 in Q4 2024.

Adjusted operating earnings were $1.33 billion, down quarter over quarter from $1.79 billion and year over year from $1.57 billion, or $1.10 per share versus $1.48 in Q3 2025 and $1.25 in Q4 2024. Suncor attributed the year-over-year decline primarily to lower upstream price realizations net of decreased royalties and a foreign exchange loss on working capital items versus a gain in Q4 2024, partially offset by higher refinery margins plus higher upstream production, downstream throughput, and sales volumes.

Operating, selling and general expenses were $3.52 billion in Q4 2025, up from $3.27 billion in Q3 2025 and $3.41 billion in Q4 2024, with the increase tied primarily to higher commodity input costs.

Non-GAAP adjusted funds from operations were $3.22 billion, down from Q3 2025’s $3.83 billion and Q4 2024’s $3.49 billion, or $2.68 per share versus $3.16 in Q3 2025 and $2.78 in Q4 2024.

Cash flow provided by operating activities was $3.92 billion, up from $3.79 billion last quarter but down from $5.08 billion last year. The company reported a $703.0 million Q4 2025 change in non-cash working capital versus $1.59 billion in Q4 2024.

On the company’s non-GAAP definition, free funds flow was $1.70 billion, down from Q3 2025’s $2.35 billion and Q4 2024’s $1.92 billion.

On the year-end balance sheet, cash and cash equivalents were $3.65 billion versus $3.48 billion. Total debt was $9.99 billion versus $10.36 billion at 2024, while non-GAAP net debt ended at $6.34 billion, down from $6.86 billion last year.

“Suncor’s record fourth quarter contributed to another record-breaking year, which also saw the company achieve its 2024 Investor Day targets a full year early,” CEO Rich Kruger said, pointing to the $8.00 billion net debt target and a framework of returning excess funds to shareholders.

Total upstream production was a quarterly record 909.0 mbbls/d in Q4 2025, up from 870.0 mbbls/d last quarter and 875.0 mbbls/d last year. Total Oil Sands bitumen production rose to 992.7 mbbls/d from 958.3 mbbls/d in Q3 2025 and 951.5 mbbls/d in Q4 2024, supported by strong mining performance and Fort Hills reaching 90% of nameplate capacity in 2025.

Net upgraded production was 557.0 mbbls/d in Q4 2025 versus 544.1 mbbls/d in Q3 2025 and 543.6 mbbls/d in Q4 2024, while non-upgraded bitumen production was 288.4 mbbls/d versus 268.1 mbbls/d and 273.9 mbbls/d, repectively.

Exploration and Production volumes were 63.6 mbbls/d versus 57.8 mbbls/d and 57.5 mbbls/d last quarter and last year, respectively, including higher Hebron output and White Rose production after its Q1 2025 restart.

Downstream performance also set records: refinery utilization was 108% in Q4 2025 versus 106% in Q3 2025 and 104% in Q4 2024, with refinery crude processed at 504.2 mbbls/d versus 491.7 mbbls/d and 486.2 mbbls/d.

Refined product sales were 640.4 mbbls/d versus 646.8 mbbls/d and 613.3 mbbls/d, reflecting higher refinery production plus retail growth and strategic partnerships.

Management also cited record quarterly utilization levels with upgraders at 106% and refineries at 108%.

Suncor said there were no changes to its 2026 corporate guidance ranges previously released on December 11, 2025.

The firm returned $1.49 billion to shareholders in Q4 2025, consisting of $775.0 million in share repurchases and $719.0 million in dividends. The quarterly dividend increased about 5% to $0.60 per share versus $0.57 in both Q3 2025 and Q4 2024.

The company expects 100% of excess funds to continue flowing to shareholders in 2026, highlighted by a 10% increase in share repurchases to $275.0 million per month from $250.0 million per month as of December 2025, implying $3.30 billion of share repurchases for 2026. Under the current share buyback running until March 2, 2026, Suncor repurchased 50.5 million shares for $2.80 billion at a weighted average price of $55.46 per share, and intends to renew the program after expiry.

Suncor Energy last traded at $53.46 on the TSX.


Information for this story was found via the sources and companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

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