Sunday, January 18, 2026

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Trump Doubles India Tariffs To 50%, But Exemption May Actually Include Russian Oil

President Donald Trump pushed through with his earlier threat and signed an executive order slapping an extra 25% ad-valorem duty on all Indian imports, sending the effective levy to 50% once the measure takes effect after a 21-day grace period. Goods already en route before August 27 escape the hike, but everything else—from textiles to auto parts—faces one of the steepest duties ever applied to a major US trading partner.

The order ties the penalty squarely to New Delhi’s purchases of Russian crude, declaring that Moscow’s actions in Ukraine “continue to pose an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States.”

However, energy itself seems to be staying outside the tariff net: Section 3(c) of Trump’s order exempts products already shielded by Annex II to Executive Order 14257 signed last April, a list that includes gasoline, diesel, and other petroleum fuels. That means refined fuel produced in India from Russian crude can still sail into US ports duty-free, eroding the stance against the very Russian export that triggered the increased tariff for India in the first place.

The edict “stacks” on top of earlier reciprocal duties yet spares electronics and pharmaceuticals, and it lets previous Section 232 metal tariffs stand separately. The White House also reserved the right to expand the regime or suspend it if India scales back Russian inflows or if other nations step up similar trade.

India’s foreign ministry blasted the move as “unfair, unjustified and unreasonable,” vowing to “take all actions necessary to protect its national interests.” Export groups warn the surcharge could erase up to half of India’s US-bound shipments, with gems, jewellery, and apparel hardest hit.

Trump shrugged the criticism, signaling broader action ahead, “You’re going to see a lot more… so many secondary sanctions.”

Trade economists put the drag at 0.3%–0.5% of India’s FY2026 GDP and caution that the dispute risks undercutting two decades of steadily warming strategic ties.


Information for this briefing was found via BBC, NDTV, and the sources mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

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