In this conversation with Todd “Bubba” Horwitz of Bubba Trading, we discuss the Iran ceasefire, why the market treated it as a win, and why Todd believes that reaction may not last. He explains why he is still short oil, gold, and equities as a trader, why he sees this rally as a dead cat bounce, and why he believes the bigger problem is not the headlines out of the Middle East but the weakness underneath the economy.
What makes this discussion stand out is that it moves past the usual gold and oil reaction trade. Todd connects the ceasefire bounce to a much bigger set of risks, including a weakening consumer, a K-shaped economy, private credit stress, overleveraged banks, and a Federal Reserve he believes is running out of room. He also explains why gold sold off during the panic, why physical gold still matters more than miners to him, and why AI could end up hurting the economy by destroying jobs faster than the system can replace them.
Information for this story was found via the sources and companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.
