Monday, March 16, 2026

What Recession? US Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.5%, Cements Case for Further Rate Hikes

The US labour market remained resilient in September, as businesses continued their hiring spree despite surging inflation and sharp interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

Latest data from the Bureau of Labour Statistics showed nonfarm payrolls jumped 263,000 last month, sending the unemployment rate tumbling from 3.7% to 3.5%. Albeit the advance was smaller than August’s 315,000 gain and the smallest increase since April 2021— the figures exceeded consensus estimates calling for a payrolls gain of 255,000 and the unemployment rate to remain steady at 3.7%. Hiring was broad-based, with the most job gains concentrated across the leisure and hospitality and healthcare sectors.

The latest data suggests the US jobs market is still strong despite other indications of moderating, such as a drop in job openings. Still, many employers remain short-staffed following the pandemic, and continue to hire even amid rising wage growth and monetary policy tightening by the Fed. The BLS jobs report will also be the final one before the central bank’s next meeting in November, and will likely bolster policy makers’ consideration for a fourth consecutive 75 basis-point rate hike.

In fact, the figures show the Fed still has a long and tough road ahead in bringing inflation back to the 2% target range, particularly if wage growth isn’t cooling. Average hourly earnings were up 0.3% from August and 5% from September 2021— a paltry deceleration from the month before, but still nonetheless historically high. The central bank said it remains committed to raising borrowing costs even if it risks sending the US economy into a recession and a softened labour market.

Information for this briefing was found via the BLS. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

Video Articles

The $30,000 Gold Case Just Got Stronger | Simon Marcotte

Why Silver’s Move Is ‘Scary’ to Some Miners | Frank Basa

Are Commodities Entering a Generational Cycle? | Terry Lynch

Recommended

Ottawa Backs First Phosphate Battery Grade Validation Push With $16.7M Boost

First Majestic Drills 3.43 g/t Gold Over 24.4 Metres At Jerritt Canyon

Related News

Jerome Powell Hikes Rates 75 Basis Points, Doesn’t Believe Economy Is In A Recession

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday delivered on a much-anticipated 75 basis-point rate hike, whilst acknowledging...

Wednesday, July 27, 2022, 04:58:00 PM

The Fun Is Over: Walmart Closes Office Locations, Ends Remote Work for Tech Staff

The tech sector expansion is no more: thanks to a looming recession, major US companies...

Sunday, February 19, 2023, 01:43:00 PM

Peter Schiff: US Economy Headed for an ‘Inflationary Depression’

Love him or hate him, but stock broker and gold proponent Peter Schiff does make...

Sunday, July 31, 2022, 05:10:00 PM

“Sharpest Decline In Earnings Outlook Since 2020” Signals Recession Ahead — Report

The US economy is hurtling toward a stagflationary recession, according to a report by Apollo...

Monday, April 28, 2025, 12:01:00 PM

Americans’ Inflation Expectations Fall to Lowest Since April 2021

With the latest University of Michigan consumer survey published on Friday, all eyes were on...

Saturday, January 14, 2023, 01:31:00 PM