Cameco Signals Production Expansion Freeze Until Uranium Prices Catch Up
Cameco Corporation (TSX: CCO) has decided to hold off on increasing production at its key McArthur River and Cigar Lake mines in Saskatchewan, citing unfavorable long-term market conditions. Despite the current rise in nuclear fuel demand, the company believes it is not yet the right time to ramp up output.
Grant Isaac, Cameco’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, explained in a recent webcast that while uranium prices surged earlier this year, sustained long-term price levels are still insufficient to justify increased production.
“Any demand not brought to the market in 2024 just means more demand is getting piled up,” Isaac said, highlighting the potential for significant future price spikes if supply disruptions persist or intensify.
This cautious approach reflects the company’s strategy of maintaining “supply discipline” to avoid flooding the market, which could drive prices down. Cameco’s strategy mirrors the need to balance operational sustainability with market dynamics, focusing on long-term gains rather than short-term profits.
The company is also emphasizing its investments across the entire nuclear fuel cycle, strengthened by its acquisition of a 49% stake in Westinghouse in partnership with Brookfield Asset Management. This deal positions Cameco to provide end-to-end services—ranging from uranium mining to deploying nuclear technology through Westinghouse—supporting future clean energy initiatives in Canada and abroad.
In June, Cameco, SaskPower, and Westinghouse signed a memorandum of understanding to explore deploying nuclear reactor technology in Saskatchewan, which could further elevate the importance of uranium in Canada’s energy mix if the province moves forward with nuclear power development.
Although production at the McArthur River and Cigar Lake mines remains stable for 2024, each targeting 18 million pounds of uranium concentrate, Cameco is ready to scale up operations when the market signals align. CEO Tim Gitzel emphasized the company’s readiness to expand production capacity at McArthur River to 25 million pounds annually when conditions are right, showcasing the company’s ability to adapt to future shifts in market demand.
Cameco’s deliberate strategy also reflects broader industry trends. Global demand for uranium is growing as more countries pivot toward nuclear energy to meet net-zero emissions targets by 2050. However, geopolitical risks and supply challenges, such as disruptions in Kazakhstan, continue to impact the uranium supply chain, further complicating market stability.
Cameco last traded at $70.64 on the TSX.
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