Loblaw Misses Revenue Estimates In Q3 2024 Despite Profit Boost
Retail giant Loblaw Companies (TSX: L) fell short of revenue expectations in the third quarter, posting an overall quarterly revenue of $18.54 billion and missing analysts’ estimates of $18.65 billion. Despite increased consumer traffic, Loblaw reported that consumers are holding back on non-essential items due to economic pressures, marking a challenging environment for high-margin products and segments outside of core grocery and healthcare.
The revenue figures are disappointing when set against the robust 4.5% growth in same-store food retail sales from the same period last year, which has now slowed dramatically to just 0.5%. In the drug retail segment, the company saw slightly stronger demand with a 2.9% increase in same-store sales, yet this figure remains well below the 4.6% growth recorded in Q3 2023, suggesting that even in health and beauty—a typically stable category—customers are pulling back.
Pharmacy sales, including prescriptions and healthcare services, rose by a more promising 6.3%, indicating some consistency in demand for these essential services. However, this strength was partially offset by a 0.5% decline in front-store sales as shoppers continued to limit purchases of convenience and beauty products, and Loblaw made the move to exit low-margin electronics categories to refocus on its core offerings.
The retailer’s financial services segment, which includes the President’s Choice Bank, provides a small but noteworthy contribution to revenue, reaching $382 million in the third quarter, up marginally from $379 million in Q3 2023. While this increase is negligible, the substantial tax-related benefit in this segment boosted quarterly earnings, a non-recurring advantage that will be absent in future quarters.
Loblaw’s gross profit percentage rose slightly from 30.6% last year to 30.9%, bolstered in part by improved management of inventory shrink. Operating income meanwhile increased by 8.4% year-over-year, from $1.006 billion to $1.091 billion, partially driven by incremental cost-saving initiatives and real estate efficiencies rather than a marked improvement in revenue generation.
Loblaw’s net income surged to $777 million, or $2.53 per share, up from $621 million, or $1.95 per share, in the third quarter of last year. This 25.1% increase appears strong on the surface but was bolstered by a $125 million tax benefit tied to a reversal of prior charges in its financial services arm, President’s Choice Bank, which relates to a commodity tax matter. Adjusted for this and other one-time items, Loblaw’s earnings per share came in at $2.50, slightly above the $2.45 projected by analysts.
Loblaw’s retail operations continue to carry a substantial burden of capital expenditures. Capital investments in the third quarter rose by approximately 5.5% as the company ramped up store renovations and the rollout of new locations, particularly in its discount banners such as No Frills and Maxi, which are expected to capture value-focused consumers. While Loblaw raised its full-year capital expenditure guidance to $1.9 billion from $1.8 billion, the increase in capital allocation raises questions about potential returns amid uncertain demand and the impact of these investments on future cash flows.
The retail conglomerate remains committed to what it calls “retail excellence,” focusing on its core strategy of steady growth through operational improvements and customer-centric investments. With its sights set on 2024, the company expects earnings to outpace sales growth, supported by targeted share repurchases as part of its ongoing capital return strategy.
Based on year-to-date performance and momentum from Q3, Loblaw has revised its full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance upward, now anticipating growth in the low double digits.
Loblaw last traded at $187.39 on the TSX.
Information for this briefing was found via Sedar and the sources mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.
