Warning Signs: Canada’s Employment Data Echoes Pre-Recession Era

Recent data from Statistics Canada reveals concerning trends in the Canadian labor market, according to an analysis shared by X user @igetredpilled. The August 2024 figures show a shift towards part-time employment and rising permanent layoffs, potentially signaling economic challenges ahead.

While Canada added 22,000 jobs in August, this growth was entirely in part-time positions. The economy actually lost 44,000 full-time jobs while gaining 66,000 part-time roles. Full-time employment growth has been declining for over two years, now sitting at just 0.8% year-over-year.

@igetredpilled points out that this scenario bears a striking resemblance to May 1990, mere months before Canada entered a recession. The employment rate has dropped to 60.8%, a level not seen since the 1990s recession when excluding pandemic-related disruptions.

Particularly alarming is the trend in permanent layoffs, which have been increasing year-over-year since April 2023. In August, permanent layoffs were up 9.5% compared to the previous year, with the three-month moving average reaching 9.7% — significantly above the 35-year average of 0.9%.

These trends could have far-reaching implications for the Canadian economy. A shift towards part-time work often leads to reduced income and benefits for workers, potentially exacerbating income inequality. It may also signal decreasing business confidence, which could further dampen economic growth.

Also read: Canada’s Job Market Continues to Mask Underlying Weakness with Public Sector Expansion


Information for this story was found via the sources and companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to the organizations discussed. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

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